Grundlagen der Elliott Wellen Theorie


Die Elliott Wave Theorie unterscheidet zwischen 5 teiligen Impulswellen und 3 teiligen Korrekturwellen.  Jede  Welle ist  fraktal aufgebaut. Das bedeutet, die impulsiven Segmente einer Welle sind selbst aus impulsiven Wellen zusammengesetzt und die korrektiven Segmente einer Welle aus  korrektiven Wellen. 

Impulswellen sind 5 teilige Bewegungen im Trend.

Die drei impulsiven Segmente zeigen in die Trendrichtung, die zwei korrektiven Segmente gegen die Trendrichtung

Welle 2 muss Welle 1 um weniger als 100% retracen (korrigieren).

Welle 3 muss länger sein als Welle 2

Welle 3 muss zwar nicht die längste der 3 impulsiven Segmente sein, aber sie darf auch nicht die kürzeste sein. Welle 3 muss also entweder länger als Welle 1 oder 5 sein.

Welle 4 darf sich preislich nicht mit Welle 1 überlagern.

Welle 2 und 4 sollten ihre vorigen Wellen um mindestens 23, 6% korrigieren

Welle 2 sollte Welle 1 um nicht mehr als  61,8% korrigieren

Welle  2 und Welle 4 müssen in ihrer internen Struktur und sowohl preislich als auch zeitlich alternieren.   

Welle 5 muss mindestens 38,2%  der preislichen Ausdehnung von Welle 4 besitzen.

Eine der drei impulsiven Segmente sollte eine 161,8% Extension aufweisen. 

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Die Elliott Wave Theorie postuliert, dass sich die Kursreihen der globalen Finanzmärkte nach den mathematischen Gesetzen der Harmonielehre verhalten. Die Fibonacci Proportionen und der Goldene Schnitt sorgen demnach für wiederkehrende Muster in den Charts. Entgegen der klassischen Finanzmarkttheorie, die mit der Random Walk Hypothese vollkommen chaotische Börsenkurse annimmt, hält die Elliott Wellen Theorie Kursprognosen auf Basis globaler Naturgesetze grundsätzlich für möglich.

Elliott Wave Trading

If you have bee in online Forex trading business or in stock exchange business then you would have heard about different prediction techniques that people use to predict future trends of market. Elliott wave is a theory that was developed back in 1930 and the person that developed this theory was Ralph Nelson Elliott. He proposed a theory that all the market trends have a very predictable pattern. He proposed some basic principles that later became a very well-known formula of success for lots of people. All of this theory needs a thorough knowledge of stock charts and other related things and you have to work very hard to predict the accurate pattern. Once you come to know the accurate price patterns then you will be able to predict the entire market trends and you will be able to invest lot more carefully. It can give you a huge success in stock market as well as in almost all financial trades.



Lots of people have doubts about this theory and they argue that stock business is up and running from hundreds of years but no one can say with 100 percent certainty that the price patterns will rise or fall according to a specific pattern yet you need to understand that all the investment decisions are human made and you can always predict human decision. Basically this theory studies the beginning, middle part and end of an investment cycle carefully and then it predicts the next cycle accordingly. This prediction is not always 100 percent but it is good enough to make some important financial investment decisions. There are three basic rules that you can use to predict the exact behaviors of financial waves in market. Rule number one states that wave number 2 cannot go below the low of wave 1. Second rule states that of three waves 1,3 and 5, wave 3 can never be the shortest. Rule number 3 states that waves number 4 cannot end in the area of waves unless an exception of diagonal triangle occurs. You need to be very good mathematically to predict about all of these waves.

There are lots of people that thoroughly believe in this theory and they are predicting lots of accurate financial waves that benefit them a lot in stock exchange as well as in Forex trading. You can apply this theory to almost any financial chart and you will be able to predict waves very accurately. There is just one drawback of this theory that you need lots of studies and lots of time. The entire analysis of 5 waves will be very lengthy and time consuming and you will have to concentrate very hard to understand the actual theory. The best way to understand this theory is to work with someone who is already working on this theory and he has experience of predicting waves with this theory. In this way you will be able to understand Elliott wave trading properly and you will also get lots of profit out of your stock exchange business.



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