Grundlagen der Elliott Wellen Theorie

Impulswellen

Die Elliott Wave Theorie unterscheidet zwischen 5 teiligen Impulswellen und 3 teiligen Korrekturwellen.  Jede  Welle ist  fraktal aufgebaut. Das bedeutet, die impulsiven Segmente einer Welle sind selbst aus impulsiven Wellen zusammengesetzt und die korrektiven Segmente einer Welle aus  korrektiven Wellen. 

Impulswellen sind 5 teilige Bewegungen im Trend.

Die drei impulsiven Segmente zeigen in die Trendrichtung, die zwei korrektiven Segmente gegen die Trendrichtung

Welle 2 muss Welle 1 um weniger als 100% retracen (korrigieren).

Welle 3 muss länger sein als Welle 2

Welle 3 muss zwar nicht die längste der 3 impulsiven Segmente sein, aber sie darf auch nicht die kürzeste sein. Welle 3 muss also entweder länger als Welle 1 oder 5 sein.

Welle 4 darf sich preislich nicht mit Welle 1 überlagern.

Welle 2 und 4 sollten ihre vorigen Wellen um mindestens 23, 6% korrigieren

Welle 2 sollte Welle 1 um nicht mehr als  61,8% korrigieren

Welle  2 und Welle 4 müssen in ihrer internen Struktur und sowohl preislich als auch zeitlich alternieren.   

Welle 5 muss mindestens 38,2%  der preislichen Ausdehnung von Welle 4 besitzen.

Eine der drei impulsiven Segmente sollte eine 161,8% Extension aufweisen. 

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Die Elliott Wave Theorie postuliert, dass sich die Kursreihen der globalen Finanzmärkte nach den mathematischen Gesetzen der Harmonielehre verhalten. Die Fibonacci Proportionen und der Goldene Schnitt sorgen demnach für wiederkehrende Muster in den Charts. Entgegen der klassischen Finanzmarkttheorie, die mit der Random Walk Hypothese vollkommen chaotische Börsenkurse annimmt, hält die Elliott Wellen Theorie Kursprognosen auf Basis globaler Naturgesetze grundsätzlich für möglich.

Elliott Wave Analysis Basics

Elliott wave analysis is done in lots of different ways but you need to understand the basics of mathematics for understanding the rules of this analysis properly. The entire theory is based on the studies of 5 waves and it states that by studying and analyzing those 5 waves you can predict the nest 5 wave’s patterns. There are some important things that you should remember while implementing this theory. Some people take the results of this theory for granted and they start and end their investment cycle exactly according to this theory. This is really not a very healthy routine because there can be lots of problems in this theory that you may never address. Your investment cycle is a very long trip that you should control wisely and do not over implement the strategies of this theory.

 

Elliott wave analysis revolves around some very specific number of principals that will offer you lots of alternate investment options. You can always avail those alternate options but you need to keep your options to a minimum level. Some people start concentrating on every alternate solution and they end up messing up all the right solutions. The best way is to make sure from very start that you will get only a fixed number of alternate options. Another very basic thing about this analysis is to use Fibonacci ratios carefully because the basic Elliott wave analysis was created around these ratios and if you use these ratios properly then you will be able to predict a very precise pattern. Another thing to remember is that you need to spend lots of time in predicting the actual values and if someone claims that he can do complete Elliott wave analysis in short burst of time then he is just misguiding you. This entire process is very time consuming and for predicting the real financial waves with this theory you will need to concentrate very hard on Fibonacci ratios.

There are three basic rules that you need to keep in mind and these three rules revolve around a set of 5 waves. You can just take on 5 financial waves and then by analyzing these 5 waves you will be able to predict next financial waves. Some people start over believing these theories and they take these theories as granted ways of success. Although Elliott wave analysis can predict certain patterns of financial waves but you always need to add an element of uncertainty in this entire process. Forex trading and stock exchange work in a very periodic way and this is the core principal of Elliott wave. You need to make work on impulsive and corrective wave groups. You also need to learn this analysis properly by working with someone that understands these principals properly. You need to spend some good time and gain experience before you start predicting the financial waves properly. Keep all of the above things in mind and then you will be able to get profits from your stock exchange market.

 

 

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